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Cowboys vs Chiefs Thanksgiving: Spread, Over/Under & Expert Predictions (2025)

Cowboys vs Chiefs: Against the Spread, Over/Under & Expert Picks

The Thanksgiving Day matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Kansas City Chiefs is one of the most analyzed games of the 2025 NFL season. Fans often look at publicly available spread trends, total projections, and expert opinions to understand how analysts view the game. This article provides an informational breakdown of these categories — without offering betting recommendations.

Against the Spread (Informational Breakdown)

The spread reflects how analysts and oddsmakers evaluate the perceived difference between the two teams. Factors that influence the spread typically include:

  • Recent performance trends
  • Injury updates and player availability
  • Home-field advantage
  • Offensive and defensive efficiency metrics

Movement in the spread throughout the week often shows how public models react to new information, such as practice updates or roster changes.

Over/Under Overview (Total Points)

The Over/Under line estimates the projected total points between both teams. Analysts consider several data points when evaluating these numbers:

  • Average points per game for each team
  • Defensive scoring allowed
  • Pace of play metrics
  • Red-zone efficiency

Cowboys vs Chiefs typically features two high-powered offenses, which often influences expectations for scoring potential.

Expert Picks (General Analytical Opinions)

Expert “picks” refer to analysts’ opinions based on film study, statistics, and matchup data — not betting advice. Common themes among NFL analysts include:

  • Quarterback Play: Both teams rely heavily on elite QB performance.
  • Offensive Line Matchups: Protection vs pass rush is a major factor.
  • Receiver vs Secondary Matchups: Big plays often determine the winner.
  • Turnover Margin: A consistent predictor of game outcomes.

Predictions vary widely, and analysts disagree on which team has the advantage — making this one of the most unpredictable Thanksgiving games.

Key Trends Analysts Are Watching

  • Cowboys' dominant home performance at AT&T Stadium
  • Chiefs’ recent offensive momentum
  • Injury reports impacting both defensive units
  • Historical Thanksgiving performances

Game Details

  • Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025
  • Kickoff: 4:30 PM ET
  • Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs
  • Location: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, Texas

Important Notes

  • This article is for informational and entertainment purposes only.
  • No betting advice, promotion or instructions are included.
  • All categories reflect publicly available analytical trends only.

This page will be updated if new analytical trends or expert opinions emerge before kickoff.

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